Forex Market |
1) Introduction to Forex
Forex stands for the Foreign Exchange market, also abbreviated by
"FX", and it is one of the most exciting, fast-paced markets around
the world. It was established in 1971 when fixed currency exchange was
introduced. Forex is when one currency is traded by another. The Forex market
is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily turnover of $3.20
trillion. The major traders in this market are large banks, central banks,
multinational corporations, governments and currency speculators. It is a true
24-hour market, operating from Sunday 5:00 PM ET to Friday 5:00PM ET.
Unlike other financial markets, investors can respond to currency fluctuations
caused by economic, political events and psychological effects at the time they
occur - day and night. Currencies are traded in pairs, usually against the US
Dollar, such as Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) or US Dollar/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY).
The extreme liquidity and the availability of high leverage and margin trading
have helped to spur the market's rapid growth and made it the ideal place for
many traders. Any position can be opened and closed within minutes, or can be
held for months and years. The price fluctuations of the currencies are based
on objective considerations of supply and demand and cannot be manipulated
easily because the size of the market does not allow even the largest players,
such as central banks or governments, to move prices at will.
Until recently, trading in the Forex market had been the domain of governments,
large financial institutions and corporations, central banks, hedge funds and
extremely wealthy individuals. The emergence of new technologies such as the
internet has changed all of this, and now it is possible for small time and
home investors to buy and sell currencies easily with the click of a mouse
through their home computer.
Currencies are important to most people around the world, whether they realize
it or not, because currencies need to be exchanged in order to conduct foreign
trade and business. If you are living in the U.S. and want to buy cheese from
France, either you or the company that you buy the cheese from has to pay the
French for the cheese in Euros (EUR). This means that the U.S. importer would
have to exchange the equivalent value of U.S. Dollars (USD) into Euros. The
same goes for traveling. An English tourist in Paris can't pay in Sterling to
see the Louvre because it's not the locally accepted currency. As such, the
tourist has to exchange the Sterling for the local currency, in this case the
Euros, at the current exchange rate.
The need to exchange currencies is the primary reason why the Forex market is
the largest, most liquid financial market in the world.
One unique aspect of this international market is that there is no central
marketplace for currency exchange. Rather, trade is conducted electronically
over-the-counter (OTC), which means that all transactions occur via computer
networks between traders around the world, rather than on one centralized
exchange. The market is open 24 hours a day, and currencies are traded
worldwide in the major financial centers of London, New York, Tokyo, Zurich,
Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Singapore, Paris and Sydney - across almost every time
zone. This means that when the trading day in the U.S. ends, the Forex market begins
anew in Tokyo and Hong Kong. As such, the Forex market can be extremely active
any time of the day, with price quotes changing constantly.
Spot Market and Futures Markets
There are actually different ways that institutions, corporations and individuals
trade Forex, among those ways are: the spot market and the futures market. The
spot market always has been the largest market because it is the
"underlying" real asset that the futures markets are based on. In the
past, the futures market was the most popular venue for traders because it was
available to individual investors for a longer period of time. However, with
the advent of electronic trading, the spot market has witnessed a huge surge in
activity and now surpasses the futures market as the preferred trading market
for individual investors and speculators. When people refer to the Forex
market, they usually are referring to the spot market. The futures markets tend
to be more popular with companies that need to hedge their foreign exchange risks
out to a specific date in the future.
Spots Markets
More specifically, the spot market is where currencies are bought and sold
according to the current price. That price, determined by supply and demand, is
a reflection of many things, including current interest rates, economic
performance, sentiment towards ongoing political situations (both locally and
internationally), as well as the perception of the future performance of one
currency against another. It is a bilateral transaction by which one party delivers
an agreed-upon currency amount to the counter party and receives a specified
amount of another currency at the agreed-upon exchange rate value.
Futures Markets
In the futures market, futures contracts are bought and sold based upon a
standard size and settlement date on public commodities markets, such as the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange. In the U.S., the National Futures Association
regulates the futures market. Futures contracts have specific details,
including the number of units being traded, delivery and settlement dates.
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2) Reading Quotes
One of the biggest sources of confusion for those new to the currency market is
the standard for quoting currencies. In this section, we'll go over currency
quotations and how they work in currency pair trades.
When a currency is quoted, it is done in relation to another currency, so that
the value of one is reflected through the value of another. Therefore, if you
are trying to determine the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar (USD) and the
Japanese yen (JPY), the quote would look like this:
USD/JPY = 105.25
This is referred to as a currency pair. The currency to the left of the slash
is the base currency, while the currency on the right is called the quote or
counter currency. The base currency (in this case, the U.S. dollar) is always
equal to one unit (in this case, 1 USD), and the quoted currency (in this case,
the Japanese yen) is what that one base unit is equivalent to in the other currency.
The quote means that US$1 = 105.25 Japanese yen. In other words, US$1 can buy
105.25 Japanese yen.
Direct Quote vs. Indirect Quote
There are two ways to quote a currency pair, either directly or indirectly. A
direct quote is simply a currency pair in which the domestic currency is the
base currency; while an indirect quote, is a currency pair where the domestic
currency is the quoted currency. So if you were looking at the Canadian dollar
as the domestic currency and U.S. dollar as the foreign currency, a direct
quote would be CAD/USD, while an indirect quote would be USD/CAD. The direct
quote varies the foreign currency, and the quoted, or domestic currency,
remains fixed at one unit. In the indirect quote, on the other hand, the
domestic currency is variable and the foreign currency is fixed at one unit.
For example, if Canada is the domestic currency, a direct quote would be 0.85
CAD/USD, which means with C$1, you can purchase US$0.85. The indirect quote for
this would be the inverse (1/0.85), which is 1.18 USD/CAD and means that USD$1
will purchase C$1.18.
In the Forex spot market, most currencies are traded against the U.S. dollar,
and the U.S. dollar is frequently the base currency in the currency pair. This
would apply to the above USD/JPY currency pair, which indicates that US$1 is
equal to 119.50 Japanese yen.
However, not all currencies have the U.S. dollar as the base. The Queen's
currencies - those currencies that historically have had a tie with Britain,
such as the British pound, Australian Dollar and New Zealand dollar - are all
quoted as the base currency against the U.S. dollar. The Euro, which is
relatively new, is quoted the same way as well. This is why the EUR/USD quote
is given as 1.55, for example, because it means that one euro is the equivalent
of 1.55 U.S. dollars.
Most currency exchange rates are quoted out to four digits after the decimal
place, with the exception of the Japanese yen (JPY), which is quoted out to two
decimal places.
Cross Currency
When a currency quote is given without the U.S. dollar as one of its
components, this is called a cross currency. The most common cross currency
pairs are the EUR/GBP, EUR/CHF and EUR/JPY. These currency pairs expand the
trading possibilities in the Forex market, but it is important to note that
they do not have as much of a following (for example, not as actively traded)
as pairs that include the U.S. dollar, which also are called the majors.
Bid and Ask
As with most trading in the financial markets, when you are trading a currency
pair there is a bid price (buy) and an ask price (sell). Again, these are in
relation to the base currency. When buying a currency pair (going long), the
ask price refers to the amount of quoted currency that has to be paid in order
to buy one unit of the base currency, or how much the market will sell one unit
of the base currency for in relation to the quoted currency.
The bid price is used when selling a currency pair (going short) and reflects
how much of the quoted currency will be obtained when selling one unit of the
base currency, or how much the market will pay for the quoted currency in
relation to the base currency.
The quote before the slash is the bid price, and the two digits after the slash
represent the ask price (only the last two digits of the full price are
typically quoted). Note that the bid price is always smaller than the ask
price. Let's look at an example:
USD/CAD = 1.1915/1.1920
BID = 1.1915
ASK = 1.1920
If you want to buy this currency pair, this means that you intend to buy the
base currency and are therefore looking at the ask price to see how much (in
Canadian dollars) the market will charge for U.S. dollars. According to the ask
price, you can buy one U.S. dollar with 1.1920 Canadian dollars.
However, in order to sell this currency pair, or sell the base currency in
exchange for the quoted currency, you would look at the bid price. It tells you
that the market will buy US$1 base currency (you will be selling the market the
base currency) for a price equivalent to 1.1915 Canadian dollars, which is the
quoted currency.
Whichever currency is quoted first (the base currency) is always the one in
which the transaction is being conducted. You either buy or sell the base
currency. Depending on what currency you want to use to buy or sell the base
with, you refer to the corresponding currency pair spot exchange rate to
determine the price.
Spreads and Pips
The difference between the bid price and the ask price is called a spread. If
we were to look at the following quote: EUR/USD = 1.5500/04, the spread would
be 0.0004 or 4 pips, also known as points. Although these movements may seem
insignificant, even the smallest point change can result in thousands of
dollars being made or lost due to leverage. Again, this is one of the reasons
that speculators are so attracted to the Forex market; even the tiniest price
movement can result in huge profit.
The pip is the smallest amount a price can move in any currency quote. In the
case of the U.S. dollar, euro, British pound or Swiss franc, one pip would be
0.0001. With the Japanese yen, one pip would be 0.01, because this currency is
quoted to two decimal places. So, in a Forex quote of USD/CHF, the pip would be
0.0001 Swiss francs. Most currencies trade within a range of 100 to 150 pips a
day.
Currency Pairs in the Futures Markets
One of the key characteristics of the Forex markets is the way currencies are
quoted. In the futures markets, foreign exchange always is quoted against the
U.S. dollar. This means that pricing is done in terms of how many U.S. dollars
are needed to buy one unit of the other currency. Remember that in the spot
market some currencies are quoted against the U.S. dollar, while for others,
the U.S. dollar is being quoted against them. As such, the futures market and
the spot market quotes will not always be parallel one another.
For example, in the spot market, the British pound is quoted against the U.S.
dollar as GBP/USD. This is the same way it would be quoted in the futures
markets. Thus, when the British pound strengthens against the U.S. dollar in
the spot market, it will also rise in the futures markets.
On the other hand, when looking at the exchange rate for the U.S. dollar and
the Japanese Yen, the former is quoted against the latter. In the spot market,
the quote would be 115 for example, which means that one U.S. dollar would buy
115 Japanese Yen. In the futures market, it would be quoted as (1/115) or
.0087, which means that 1 Japanese Yen would buy .0087 U.S. dollars. As such, a
rise in the USD/JPY spot rate would equate to a decline in the JPY futures rate
because the U.S. dollar would have strengthened against the Japanese yen and
therefore one Japanese yen would buy less U.S. dollars.
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3) Benefits vs. Risks
In this section, we'll take a look at some of the benefits and risks associated
with the Forex market. We'll also discuss how it differs from the equity market
in order to get a greater understanding of how the Forex market works.
The Good and the Bad
We already have mentioned that factors such as the size, volatility and global
structure of the Forex market have all contributed to its rapid success. Given
the highly liquid nature of this market, investors are able to place extremely
large trades without affecting any given exchange rate. These large positions
are made available to traders because of the low margin requirements used by
the majority of the industry's brokers. For example, it is possible for an
investor to control a position of US$100,000 by putting down as little as
US$1,000 up front and borrowing the remainder from his or her broker. This
amount of leverage acts as a double-edged sword because investors can realize
large gains when rates make a small favorable change, but they also run the
risk of a massive loss when the rates move against them. Despite the risks, the
amount of leverage available in the Forex market is what makes it attractive
for many speculators.
The currency market is also the only market that is truly open 24 hours a day
with decent liquidity throughout the day. For traders who may have a day job or
just a busy schedule, it is an optimal market to trade in. The major trading
hubs are spread throughout many different time zones, eliminating the need to
wait for an opening or closing bell. As the U.S. trading closes, other markets
in the East are opening, making it possible to trade at any time during the
day.
While the Forex market may offer more excitement to the investor, the risks are
also higher in comparison to trading equities. The ultra-high leverage of the
Forex market means that huge gains can quickly turn to damaging losses and can
wipe out the majority of your account in a matter of minutes. This is important
for all new traders to understand, because in the Forex market - due to the
large amount of money involved and the number of players - traders will react
quickly to information released into the market, leading to sharp moves in the
price of the currency pair.
By now you should have a basic understanding of what the Forex market is and
how it works.
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4) Market Participants
Unlike the equity market - where investors often only trade with institutional
investors (such as mutual funds) or other individual investors - there are
additional participants that trade on the Forex market for entirely different
reasons than those on the equity market. Therefore, it is important to identify
and understand the functions and motivations of the main players of the Forex
market.
Governments and Central Banks
Arguably, some of the most influential participants involved with currency
exchange are the central banks and federal governments. In most countries, the
central bank is an extension of the government and conducts its policy in
tandem with the government. However, some governments feel that a more
independent central bank would be more effective in balancing the goals of
curbing inflation and keeping interest rates low, which tends to increase
economic growth. Regardless of the degree of independence that a central bank
possesses, government representatives typically have regular consultations with
central bank representatives to discuss monetary policy. Thus, central banks
and governments are usually on the same page when it comes to monetary policy.
Central banks are often involved in manipulating reserve volumes in order to
meet certain economic goals. For example, ever since pegging its currency (the
Yuan) to the U.S. dollar, China has been buying up millions of dollars worth of
U.S. treasury bills in order to keep the Yuan at its target exchange rate.
Central banks use the foreign exchange market to adjust their reserve volumes.
With extremely deep pockets, they yield significant influence on the currency
markets.
Banks and Other Financial Institutions
In addition to central banks and governments, some of the largest participants
involved with Forex transactions are banks. Most individuals who need foreign
currency for small-scale transactions deal with neighborhood banks. However,
individual transactions pale in comparison to the volumes that are traded in
the interbank market.
The interbank market is the market through which large banks transact with each
other and determine the currency price that individual traders see on their
trading platforms. These banks transact with each other on electronic brokering
systems that are based upon credit. Only banks that have credit relationships
with each other can engage in transactions. The larger the bank, the more credit
relationships it has and the better the pricing it can access for its
customers.
Banks, in general, act as dealers in the sense that they are willing to
buy/sell a currency at the bid/ask price. One way that banks make money on the
Forex market is by exchanging currency at a premium to the price they paid to
obtain it. Since the Forex market is a decentralized market, it is common to
see different banks with slightly different exchange rates for the same
currency.
Hedgers
Some of the biggest clients of these banks are businesses that deal with
international transactions. Whether a business is selling to an international
client or buying from an international supplier, it will need to deal with the
volatility of fluctuating currencies.
If there is one thing that management (and shareholders) detests, it is
uncertainty. Having to deal with foreign-exchange risk is a big problem for
many multinationals. For example, suppose that a German company orders some
equipment from a Japanese manufacturer to be paid in yen one year from now.
Since the exchange rate can fluctuate wildly over an entire year, the German
company has no way of knowing whether it will end up paying more Euros at the
time of delivery.
One choice that a business can make to reduce the uncertainty of
foreign-exchange risk is to go into the spot market and make an immediate
transaction for the foreign currency that they need.
Unfortunately, businesses may not have enough cash on hand to make spot
transactions or may not want to hold massive amounts of foreign currency for
long periods of time. Therefore, businesses quite frequently employ hedging
strategies in order to lock in a specific exchange rate for the future or to
remove all sources of exchange-rate risk for that transaction.
For example, if a European company wants to import steel from the U.S., it
would have to pay in U.S. dollars. If the price of the euro falls against the
dollar before payment is made, the European company will realize a financial
loss. As such, it could enter into a contract that locked in the current
exchange rate to eliminate the risk of dealing in U.S. dollars. These contracts
could be either forwards or futures contracts.
Speculators
Another class of market participants involved with foreign exchange-related
transactions is speculators. Rather than hedging against movement in exchange
rates or exchanging currency to fund international transactions, speculators
attempt to make money by taking advantage of fluctuating exchange-rate levels.
Some of the largest and most controversial speculators on the Forex market are
hedge funds, which are essentially employ unconventional investment strategies
in order to reap large returns. Given that they can place such massive bets,
they can have a major effect on a country’s currency and economy.
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5) Ready to Trade?
So, you think you are ready to trade? Make sure you read this section to learn
how you can go about setting up an account to trade in the Forex along with
what factors you should be aware of before you take this step. We will then
discuss how to trade and the different types of orders that can be placed.
How to Trade
We will take a look at how exactly you can trade within your account. The two
main ways to trade the currency market is the simple buying and selling of
currency pairs, where you go long one currency and short another. The second
way is through the purchasing of derivatives that track the movements of a
specific currency pair. The most common way is to simply buy and sell currency
pairs, much in the same way most individuals buy and sell stocks. In this case,
you are hoping the value of the pair itself changes in a favorable manner. If
you go long a currency pair, you are hoping that the value of the pair
increases. For example, let's say that you took a long position in the USD/CAD
pair - you will make money if the value of this pair goes up, and lose money if
it falls. This pair rises when the U.S. dollar increases in value against the
Canadian dollar.
The other option is to use derivative products, such as futures, to profit from
changes in the value of currencies. A futures contract creates the obligation
to buy the currency at a set point in time. This trading is usually only used
by more advanced traders, but it is important to at least be familiar with it.
Types of Orders
For trader looking to open a new position:
This trade will can use either
a Market Order or a Pending Order.
A Market Order:
This order gives a trader
the ability to obtain the asset at whatever price it is currently trading at in
the market.
A Pending Order:
This order allows the
trader to specify a certain entry price. A trader can enter a sell or a buy
trade as using limit orders as follows:
Sell Limit: An order to sell a specified quantity of a currency
at a specified that is above the current market bid price.
Sell Stop: An order to sell a specified quantity of a currency
at a specified that is below the current market bid price.
Buy Stop: An order to buy a specified quantity of a currency
at a specified that is above the current market ask price.
Buy Limit: An order to buy a specified quantity of a currency
at a specified that is below the current market ask price.
For traders that already hold an open position:
This trader has also two
types of order which are a Take profit order or a Stop loss order.
Take-profit order:
This order allows the
trader to lock in profit. Say, for example, that a trader is confident that the
GBP/USD rate will reach 1.7800, but is not as sure that the rate could climb
any higher. A trader could use a take-profit order, which would automatically
close his or her position when the rate reaches 1.7800, locking in their
profits.
Stop-loss order:
This order allows traders
to determine how much the rate can decline before the position is closed and
further losses are accumulated. Therefore, if the GBP/USD rate begins to drop,
an investor can place a stop-loss that will close the position (for example at
1.7787), in order to prevent any further losses.
Opening an Account
Trading the Forex requires you to open up an account. Please follow the link to
the “Open Live Account” for the complete instructions.
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